专栏现金流

Trust cash cows rather than herd instincts

For any investor there is only one quest that matters: the search for value. But knowing which assets are genuinely cheap is very difficult; this intellectual challenge explains why so few market professionals are consistently successful.

Perhaps the most subjective aspect in analysing any business is the quality of earnings. By this I mean not so much whether the accounts are accurate and conservatively stated, but whether the earnings are repeatable and bankable. Many enterprises have an unsustainable model, only temporary advantages, rising competition and weak fundamentals. They should, all other things being equal, trade for a low multiple.

By contrast, some companies have high forward visibility of revenue, defendable and attractive margins, a strong franchise with high barriers to entry, proprietary technology or brands, and a sizeable market share. Such rare and enviable situations are usually very expensive to purchase.

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卢克•约翰逊

卢克•约翰逊(Luke Johnson)是一位成果颇丰的企业家和创业家,他为英国《金融时报》撰写企业家专栏。他目前担任英国皇家艺术协会的主席,并管理着一家私人股本投资公司——Risk Capital Partners。约翰逊曾在牛津大学学医,但是毕业后却进入投行业。他在1992年收购PizzaExpress,担任其董事长,并将其上市。到1999年出售的时候,PizzaExpress的股价已经从40英镑涨至800英镑。

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