In 1906, the great statistician Francis Galton observed a competition to guess the weight of an ox at a country fair. Eight hundred people entered. Galton, being the kind of man he was, ran statistical tests on the numbers. He discovered that the average guess (1,197lb) was extremely close to the actual weight (1,198lb) of the ox. This story was told by James Surowiecki, in his entertaining book The Wisdom of Crowds.
1906年，伟大的统计学家弗朗西斯•高尔顿(Francis Galton)在一个乡下集市上观察了一场猜测一头公牛重量的比赛。有八百人参加。出于职业敏感，高尔顿对数据进行了统计检验。他发现，猜测的平均值（11971磅）非常接近公牛的实际重量（11981磅）。詹姆斯