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Largest US banks set to log sharp rise in bad loans

Earnings are expected to have shrunk in last quarter of 2023 due to unpaid debts and impact of high interest rates
Investors have been buying up bank shares, which have risen 20% since the end of October

A pile-up of bad debt threatens to sour investors’ growing optimism about the prospects for the US’s largest banks when they report fourth-quarter earnings this week.

Non-performing loans — debt tied to borrowers who have not made a payment in at least the past 90 days — are expected to have risen to a combined $24.4bn in the last three months of 2023 at the four largest US lenders — JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Wells Fargo and Citigroup, according to a Bloomberg analysts’ consensus. That is up nearly $6bn since the end of 2022.

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