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European stocks hit by ‘Trump effect’ as odds tilt towards Republican win

Former president’s promise of tariffs has dragged down sectors already struggling with flagging Chinese demand

The prospect of Donald Trump imposing a raft of new tariffs if he wins next month’s US presidential election has hit the shares of export-sensitive European companies such as carmakers and luxury goods groups.

A basket of 28 European stocks exposed to US tariffs compiled by Barclays has tumbled 7 per cent since late September as the former president’s odds of an election victory shorten. The basket, which includes Diageo, LVMH and Volkswagen, is now down 2 per cent so far this year, compared with an 8 per cent rise for the broader European stock market.

The declines show how Trump’s promise to launch a trade war if he wins a second term in the White House is piling further pressure on industries already struggling with lacklustre domestic economies and a slowdown in demand from their key markets in China.

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