Sometime soon Donald Trump will ring the closing bell on his Iran war. That moment will have less to do with whether his mission is accomplished (whatever that is) than how much pain he can endure. We can safely assume that Iran’s pain threshold is higher than his. Trump will nevertheless present his exit as a victory. Iran will have every incentive to ensure nobody believes him. That is the crux of his self-inflicted dilemma.
不久之后，唐纳德•特朗普(Donald Trump)将为他的伊朗战争敲响收盘钟。那个特定时刻与其说和他是否已经达到预期目标（无论那是什么）有关，不如说和他能承受多少痛苦有关。我们可以有把握地假设，伊朗政权的痛苦阈值高于他。然而，特朗普仍然会把自己的退出包装成一个胜利，而伊朗将有大把动机确保没人相信他。这就是他自找的两难困境的关键症结所在。
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