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Lessons from the great inflation
从“大通胀”汲取教训

Large shocks are likely to recur in the future, bringing significant challenges for policymakers
沃尔夫:美欧在manbetx20客户端下载 仅适度减弱的情况下成功降低通胀,这一结局比我预期的更好,但仍有教训需要汲取,因为大规模冲击很有可能再次出现。

The speech by Jay Powell, chair of the Federal Reserve, at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium last month was as close to a paean of victory as a sober central banker could utter. “Inflation has declined significantly,” he noted. “The labour market is no longer overheated, and conditions are now less tight than those that prevailed before the pandemic. Supply constraints have normalised.” He added that, “With an appropriate dialling back of policy restraint, there is good reason to think that the economy will get back to 2 per cent inflation while maintaining a strong labour market.” So, happy times!

美联储(Federal Reserve)主席杰伊•鲍威尔(Jay Powell)上月在杰克逊霍尔manbetx20客户端下载 研讨会(Jackson Hole Economic Symposium)上发表的讲话,差不多是一位严肃的央行行长所能发表的最接近于胜利赞歌的言论。“通胀率已显著下降,”他指出。“劳动力市场不再过热,而现在的条件没有疫情前那么紧张。供应制约因素已经正常化。”他补充道:“借助适当减少政策限制,我们有很好的理由相信,(美国)manbetx20客户端下载 将在保持强劲劳动力市场的同时回归2%的通胀率。”换句话说,当前形势大好!

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