2023年度展望

The world is not ready for the long grind to come
世界没准备好迎接漫长的艰难岁月

Demographic changes and deglobalisation will keep inflation higher than policymakers were used to pre-pandemic
夏尔马:下一轮衰退应该不会那么快发生,但它可能以人们不熟悉的样子出现,也许不会太严重,但会更持久,因为更具粘性的通胀。

The writer is chair of Rockefeller InternationalOver the past half century, as governments and central banks teamed up ever more closely to manage economic growth, recessions became fewer and farther between. Often they were shorter and shallower than they might have been. After so much mildness, most people cannot imagine a painfully lasting business cycle. But the global economy is heading into a period unlike any we have seen in decades.  

本文作者是洛克菲勒国际公司(Rockefeller International)董事长

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