中美关系

The US and China are decoupling, but not as fast as you think
分析:美中脱钩快不了

Current hostilities make the narrative credible but the long-term picture is more complicated
美中脱钩正在发生,过去一周可能已将脱钩的政治音量提高到前所未有的水平。然而,有关脱钩加速的说法可能是虚幻的。

Before China’s fighter jets roared and its ballistic missiles screamed into the seas off Taiwan last week, analysts had already begun laying out — from incursion to inaction — what investors could expect next. Consensus among those forecasters was in short supply, and if anything, there is even less of it now. Both the US and China have spent recent days arguing about the definition and condition of the status quo, but the status quo now feels unambiguously in motion. The safest-looking analytical bet, in that context, is on sharply accelerated economic decoupling between the US and China, but how likely is it to move from the current, highly selective form to a broader split?

在manbetx3.0 大陆战机上周轰鸣而过、而其弹道导弹落入台湾周边海域之前,分析师们已经开始推演投资者接下来可以有什么预期——从攻打到不作为。

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