While 2021 was a year of strong economic recovery, that recovery was neither universal nor complete. Unfortunately, prospects for 2022 now look worse than the IMF forecast last October: the main culprits, it argues, being the Omicron Covid-19 variant, supply shortages and unexpectedly high inflation. Downgrades in forecasts are particularly sharp for the US and China. Uncertainties are large, with risks concentrated on the downside. Above all, it is easier to argue that the fund’s base case is too optimistic than pessimistic.
尽管2021年是manbetx20客户端下载 强劲复苏的一年，但这一复苏既不是普遍的，也不是完全的。遗憾的是，国际货币基金组织(IMF)认为2022年的前景现在看起来比其去年10月的预测要糟：该组织认为，主要的原因是新冠病毒Omicron变种、供应短缺和出人意料的高通胀。对美国和manbetx3.0 manbetx20客户端下载 增速的预测下调幅度尤其大。不确定性很大，风险主要偏向下行。最重要的是，主张IMF的基线预测过于乐观，比主张它过于悲观更容易。