观点预测

Forecasters use their expertise to help us shape our daily lives
我们还能相信预测吗?


列韦林:英国退欧派领袖戈夫曾嘲笑从事预测工作的专家。但预测无法做到完全准确,并不能证明戈夫是正确的。

Full disclosure: for much of my professional life I have been an economic forecaster. So I felt targeted when Michael Gove, a leading Brexiter, said during the EU referendum campaign that “the people of this country have had enough of experts with organisations with acronyms saying that they know what is best and getting it consistently wrong”.

首先,我需要先全面披露一下我的身分:在我职业生涯的大部分时间里,我一直是一个manbetx20客户端下载 预测者。因此,当英国退欧派的领军人物迈克尔•戈夫(Michael Gove,见上图)在退欧公投运动中说“这个国家的民众已经受够了那些来自名字为缩写的组织、声称他们知道什么是最好、但却不断搞错的专家”,我感觉自己成了靶子。

您已阅读10%(496字),剩余90%(4700字)包含更多重要信息,订阅以继续探索完整内容,并享受更多专属服务。
版权声明:本文版权归manbetx20客户端下载 所有,未经允许任何单位或个人不得转载,复制或以任何其他方式使用本文全部或部分,侵权必究。
设置字号×
最小
较小
默认
较大
最大
分享×