Russia does not face an immediate threat from the sharp fall in oil prices over recent months. While the economy is heavily dependent on oil, the country’s accumulated reserves and the floating rouble will mitigate the shock, and Russia should be able to withstand levels of $80 to $90 a barrel for about two years. But in the longer term, persistently low prices – reinforced by the pressure imposed by western sanctions – could pose an existential challenge to Vladimir Putin’s regime.
最近几个月的油价急剧下跌不会立即对俄罗斯造成威胁。尽管俄罗斯manbetx20客户端下载 严重依赖石油,但该国积累的巨额外汇储备以及卢布汇率自由浮动将会缓解油价下跌的冲击,俄罗斯应该有能力在两年左右的时间里抵御油价在每桶80美元至90美元之间带来的冲击。但从更长期而言,油价持续低迷(再加上西方制裁所造成的压力)可能会给弗拉基米尔•普京(Vladimir Putin)的政权带来生死存亡的挑战。