观点埃及

Egypt must not rely on its army to bring democracy
埃及民主转型不能依靠军队


FT国际事务编辑加德纳:把伊斯兰主义的总统穆尔西赶下台后,埃及世俗力量有可能重复穆兄会犯下的一大错误:依赖军队而不是他们的同胞。

Scarcely a month after the coup d’état that brought down President Mohamed Morsi and the Muslim Brotherhood, Egypt’s army, hailed as saviours by millions of citizens fearful of Islamism, seems to be rewriting the terms of transition to an inclusive democracy. After the rapture, the Tamarod (rebellion) movement that repossessed Tahrir Square should brace for a hard landing. Tamarod regrouped the vital forces that brought down Hosni Mubarak’s dictatorship in 2011, remobilising against the Brothers’ divisive drive to reshape Egypt in their own image and occupy its buckled institutions with loyal Islamists. But these rebels allied with supporters of the ancien regime they had dreamed of sweeping away.

埃及军方发动政变,将总统穆罕默德•穆尔西(Mohamed Morsi)和穆斯林兄弟会(Muslim Brotherhood,简称穆兄会)赶下了台。对伊斯兰主义感到恐惧的数百万民众将军队誉为救世主,而仅仅一个月之后,埃及军队似乎就在改写迈向包容的民主政体的过渡条款。在狂热过后,重新占领开罗解放广场(Tahrir Square)的“反抗”(Tamarod)运动应该准备好迎接硬着陆。“反抗”运动重新集结了2011年推翻胡斯尼•穆巴拉克(Hosni Mubarak)独裁统治的关键力量,再次动员民众反对穆兄会分裂性的举措:即按照自己的意愿重塑埃及,以及把忠诚的伊斯兰主义者安插进重要的政府部门。但这些反对派的盟友是他们曾经希望推翻的旧政权的支持者。

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