Japan’s policy trajectory threatens to burst China’s asset bubbles. Japan has devalued the yen competitively: US and European real exchange rates are down some 10 per cent since 2009, courtesy of quantitative easing and the euro crises. Surprise interest rate cuts in a number of countries hint at dangerous imitation. China is the most exposed: following Japan’s devaluation (echoed in Korea and elsewhere), China’s overvaluation has now reached an estimated 33 per cent.
日本的政策发展轨迹可能导致manbetx3.0 的资产泡沫破灭。日本已对本国货币施行竞争性贬值:受量化宽松以及欧元区危机影响,美国和欧洲的实际汇率自2009年以来已经下跌了约10%。多个国家出乎意料的降息举措暗示着存在其他国家跟风贬值的危险。manbetx3.0 所面临的风险最为严峻:日元贬值之后(韩国以及其他国家已有类似举措),据估算人民币汇率高估幅度已达33%。