International crises never flare up at random. However unexpected they seem, closer examination shows them to have been as well signalled as the ticking black bomb in a Tom and Jerry cartoon. The UN Monitoring Group’s recent report on Somalia and Eritrea is just such an event. Its fuse has been merrily fizzing for nine long years.
国际危机从来不是随随便便爆发的。不管看上去多么出乎意料,如果更仔细地考察一下,就会发现它们都曾发出过明显的信号,就像动画片《猫和老鼠》(Tom and Jerry)中滴答不停的黑色炸弹一样。联合国监测组(UN Monitoring Group)近期一份有关索马里和厄立特里亚的报告就是这样一个事件。这条导火索已“嗞嗞”燃烧了9年之久。
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