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Brazil: foreign investors find Lula easier to love than locals

Country’s yield has come down from more than 13.5 per cent in July to just over 12 per cent today

Will investors learn to love Lula? The stock market recorded a small drop followed by a small gain, suggesting that foreign bullishness had won out over the bearishness of locals.

Sentiment towards Brazilian assets teeters on a knife edge, just as the election result did. Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, the leftwing former metalworker and two-times former president, beat Jair Bolsonaro, the rightwing incumbent, by just 1.8 percentage points, a little over 2mn votes of the 118.5mn counted.

Brazilian investors are often more critical of Lula than foreign counterparts. The latter remember his two terms in office in 2003-2010 not for leftwing extremism but prosperity fuelled by a commodities boom and orthodox policymaking.

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