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Nike/China: consumer market is yet to fully open

Don’t take the easing of pandemic restrictions as a sign that the country is returning to normality

China’s decision to announce a significant easing of Covid-19 restrictions will cheer multinationals. The decision to cut quarantine times for inbound travel by half will come as a relief to residents and business groups. Just don’t take this change as a sign that China is close to returning to normal.

Companies that trumpet confidence in a quick rebound for the world’s largest consumer market are being overly optimistic. China’s determination to stick to its zero-Covid policy means mass testing, quarantines and lockdown measures will continue. Earlier this month, multiple neighbourhoods in Shanghai were placed under lockdown just one day after city-wide restrictions were lifted.

Downbeat earnings guidance issued by sportswear giant Nike is likely to be replicated by more consumer companies in the weeks to come.

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