FT商学院

When aliens call, look to the ‘little green swan’ trade

New markets could be opening up — even if they are 124 light years away
Initial contact will trigger a rush for safe haven assets. The human race has done little to endear it to other species, so defence stocks should be the go-to

Investors have ploughed billions of dollars into the quest to send earthlings into the stars. Astronomers’ discovery that a faraway planet teems with molecules usually produced by living organisms suggests it’s time to apply a non-zero probability to an alternative scenario: one where extraterrestrials come to us. The most important question, naturally, is how to position a stock portfolio accordingly.

First: plan for uncertainty. Initial contact will inevitably cause a rush for safe haven assets. As far as gold is concerned, an extraterrestrial arrival in the near future would be inconveni