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Poll predicts Rishi Sunak to lose seat in Tory wipeout

Savanta forecast gives Labour 516 MPs and record majority

Rishi Sunak is on track to become the first sitting prime minister ever to lose their seat at a general election, according to a new poll released on Wednesday that predicted a catastrophic result for the Tories. 

Labour could win 516 MPs, which would hand Sir Keir Starmer a colossal 382-seat majority — far outstripping Tony Blair’s majority in his 1997 and 2001 landslides — the analysis by Savanta and Electoral Calculus for The Telegraph showed.

It forecast the Conservatives could slump to as few as 53 seats, down from 365 in the 2019 election, while the Liberal Democrats could climb to 50 seats, up from 11, to rival the Tories as a leading opposition party.

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