Even the smartest experts have a hard time predicting the future of technology. Consider the example of Bob Metcalfe, the inventor of Ethernet who, in 1995, boldly forecast that the internet would experience a catastrophic collapse — or a “gigalapse” — the following year.
再聪明绝顶的专家也难以预测技术的未来前景。看看鲍勃•梅特卡夫(Bob Metcalfe)的例子，这位以太网发明者在1995年大胆预测，互联网将在来年遭遇灾难性的崩溃，或者说“千兆故障”(gigalapse)。
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