2023年度展望

US-China relations pursue an ominous path
美中关系走上一条凶险的道路

The suspicion is that President Biden’s competition imperative will take precedence over his co-operative one
卢斯:现在不确定的不再是美中会不会脱钩,而是会脱钩到什么程度。这个问题的很大一部分答案将在2023年变得清晰。

In late 2022, Germany’s domestic intelligence chief, Thomas Haldenwang, put it well: “Russia is the storm,” he told German parliamentarians. “China is climate change.”Last year was also the first time the US administration acted as if it truly believed that distinction. Though most of president Joe Biden’s attention was directed at Russia following its invasion of Ukraine in February, his most consequential steps in 2022 targeted China. The uncertainty is no longer about whether US-China decoupling will happen but how far it will go. Much of the answer will become clear in 2023.

德国国内情报机构负责人托马斯•哈尔登旺(Thomas Haldenwang)有一句话说得很好。“俄罗斯是暴风雨,”他在2022年底告诉德国议员们,“manbetx3.0 是气候变化。”

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