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IMF slashes global growth forecast and raises inflation projections

Risks to economic outlook are ‘overwhelmingly tilted to the downside’, fund warns

The IMF has slashed its global growth forecasts and raised its projections for inflation, warning that the risks to the economic outlook are “overwhelmingly tilted to the downside”.

The downgraded estimates, released on Tuesday, come as the world grapples with the fallout from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, prolonged disruptions caused by the pandemic and rapidly tightening financial conditions, with central banks seeking to contain soaring prices.

The fund now expects growth in gross domestic product to slow to 3.2 per cent in 2022, down 0.4 percentage points from its April estimate and roughly half the pace of last year’s expansion. In 2023, global growth is set to weaken further to 2.9 per cent. Just three months ago, that estimate was 0.7 percentage points higher.

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