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The implosion of Iran’s ‘no war, no peace’ strategy

Hubris and miscalculation blew apart Tehran’s decades-old deterrence doctrine as Israel’s appetite for risk grew

Iran’s response to Donald Trump’s shock assassination of the Islamic republic’s most powerful commander was swift and powerful.

Just five days after US drone strikes killed Qassem Soleimani in Baghdad airport, Tehran launched what it said were “tens of missiles” at two Iraqi bases hosting US troops.

The 2020 assault was one of its biggest of its kind against American bases. But crucially, the Islamic republic telegraphed the assault to the US president through back channels, no deaths were reported and the arch foes stepped back from the brink of war.

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